After the Hurricane: Jamaica, BRICS, and the Quiet Politics of a Small State in a Shifting World


In the uneasy calm that settles after a hurricane has swept through, there’s a strange clarity that emerges. Fallen trees reveal sightlines we never noticed before. Broken coastlines expose the raw edge of the island. Roofs torn away uncover the bones of houses, showing us where they were strong and where they weren’t quite honest with themselves. And as communities step cautiously back outside, there is always a moment where we take stock—not just of the damage, but of who we are, what we value, and where we intend to go.

Jamaica now sits in a similar moment of architectural introspection, but on a national scale. The hurricane has passed, both literally and figuratively, and in the exposed beams and stripped foundations of the global order, the island finds itself staring at decisions that could reshape its future. The Caribbean may look small on a map, but the world has a way of rediscovering its importance every few decades. Shipping lanes, food security, fresh water, digital corridors, energy routes—the very lifeblood of modern civilisation—flow through or around these tiny states. Suddenly, the Caribbean is not a historical footnote but a strategic hinge.

And so the quiet but momentous question arises: what happens if Jamaica, or even CARICOM as a unified voice, chooses to join BRICS? It’s the kind of question that feels too large to ask out loud in the immediate aftermath of shared trauma, yet this is precisely when such questions matter most. Moments of vulnerability often reveal the pathways to reinvention.

BRICS, once merely a clever acronym to group together rising economies, has grown into something much more architectural in its ambition. It is now a structural attempt to redirect the flow of global power. For some, it’s a counterweight to Western dominance; for others, it’s a long-overdue recalibration of the world’s balance. But whatever one thinks of it politically, one thing is undeniable: if Jamaica were to step into that room, it would be stepping into a different blueprint for its future. This isn’t a light pivot. It’s a foundation shift—one that will be felt not only in boardrooms and ministries but in the houses we build, the way streets are shaped, the price of land, and the cultural identity we imagine for generations yet to come.

To understand what this joining could mean, one must start by recognising the anchor points that currently hold Jamaica steady. Tourism from North America remains the greatest source of foreign exchange. Remittances from Jamaicans abroad serve as both lifeline and investment mechanism. The economy dances to the rhythm of US monetary policy. Aid, security partnerships, development financing—all flow heavily from Western institutions. This has given the country stability, but also dependency. It has crafted a kind of familiar architectural style for national development, one with predictable lines, safe materials, and a longstanding rulebook for what gets built and how.

Joining BRICS, then, is not simply adding an extension to an existing house. It means rethinking the entire design philosophy that has guided Jamaica’s growth. BRICS, through its New Development Bank, offers something Jamaica has rarely had: financing that isn’t filtered through Western conditionalities. Imagine the island suddenly having access to capital for long-delayed infrastructure dreams—modern rail networks gliding between parishes, upgraded ports humming with new trade routes, coastal fortifications giving small communities a renewed sense of safety, renewable energy corridors stretching across the landscape like freshly laid arteries of light. Infrastructure on this scale always transforms real estate. In other BRICS nations, small towns became cities because someone drew a new railway line through the dust.

If Jamaica plugs into that network, the physical and economic shape of the island changes. Kingston could begin stretching naturally toward St. Catherine and Clarendon. St. Mary and St. Ann, already magnets for development, could be reborn as corridors of mixed-use, modern design. Entire new economic zones could rise from the ground, architecturally bold and unapologetically global.

Yet, as with any grand design, the beauty of the blueprint does not erase the risks hidden inside it.

Geopolitical pressures would almost certainly intensify. The United States has never been subtle about the strategic importance it places on the Caribbean. A Jamaican swing toward BRICS would provoke a recalibration—not dramatic confrontation, but a measured, deliberate reshaping of tone, pace and preference. Trade processes could slow. Certain funding pathways might narrow. Diplomatic warmth could cool a degree or two. Tourism flows, always sensitive to perception, might subtly shift. This is influence of another texture entirely: atmospheric rather than tectonic, shaping decisions without threatening the foundation beneath them.

And this leads to the quieter, more delicate question that some Jamaicans hesitate to voice aloud: could the pressures that have shaken other regions ever find their way here? The comparison to Ukraine, while understandable in an unpredictable world, does not hold structurally. Ukraine sits at the hinge point of two opposing military blocs, both viewing its territory as strategically indispensable. The Caribbean is not arranged on such a fault line, nor does it attract that kind of hard power competition. Influence here arrives through diplomacy, economics, cooperation, and long-standing ties—not through the heavy-handed tactics that have ruptured other continents.

If pressure ever came, it would appear in gestures rather than shocks. A shift in visa protocols. A change in the tempo of security cooperation. A new tone in investment agreements. The Caribbean has encountered such pressures before and has weathered them with negotiation rather than confrontation. The region has decades of experience walking carefully between global agendas while still tending to its own garden.

And the Caribbean is far from passive. Jamaican diplomacy, shaped by Cold War tensions, IMF restructurings, and evolving alliances, has always known how to read a room. Even in moments of uncertainty, the region demonstrates an uncanny ability to maintain balance—never surrendering identity, never courting unnecessary conflict, always adjusting its footing as the global stage tilts.

Still, the gravitational pull of BRICS cannot be ignored. The real estate landscape feels its tremors most immediately. Wealthy buyers from China, India, Brazil, South Africa, even the UAE could look at Jamaica with renewed interest. Towers might rise along the coasts. New enclaves could appear on the hillsides. The hospitality sector might shift entirely to accommodate new expectations. The danger, of course, is that local people could be priced out of their own homeland, unless safeguards are designed with care.

More interesting still is the possibility of development zones shaped by BRICS thinking. BRICS countries excel at building cities from ambition—special economic zones, innovation hubs, digital corridors. Imagine Jamaica hosting a tech district attracting engineers from India, a logistics hub partnering with China, a green energy research zone linked to South Africa, all while Caribbean entrepreneurs build the connective tissue between them. Real estate wouldn’t just grow; it would transform.

Still, beneath all this opportunity lies a familiar fear: the fear of exchanging one form of influence for another. History has taught Caribbean states to examine every partnership carefully, reading the fine print twice.

Whether Jamaica takes this leap alone or as part of a united CARICOM matters enormously. Unity would provide bargaining power the region has never fully held. Fragmentation would weaken everyone. A collective Caribbean voice inside BRICS would carry the resonance of something new: a region refusing to be shaped solely by external forces, instead contributing to the moulding of a new world order.

The deeper question, though—the architectural one—is about Jamaica’s preferred development model. The Western model has provided stability and incremental growth, but with structural limits. The BRICS model emphasises infrastructure, industry, and long-term connectivity. One offers continuity; the other offers transformation. The choice between them will define what Jamaica becomes in the next century.

The hurricane, in its violent honesty, revealed fragility but also possibility. It stripped away illusions, leaving the island exposed but clear-eyed. The question now is whether Jamaica will rebuild according to the same familiar blueprint or whether it will draft something daring, resilient, and unmistakably its own.

Whatever the choice, one truth remains: the Caribbean is no longer standing in the shadows of someone else’s empire. It is preparing to write its next chapter, brick by brick, beam by beam, with the world watching to see what rises on the foundations revealed by the storm.


Disclaimer

This article is intended solely for informational and reflective purposes. It explores possible geopolitical, economic, and developmental scenarios involving Jamaica, CARICOM, and BRICS, and should not be taken as political advice, financial guidance, legal direction, or investment recommendation. The ideas discussed are speculative, and real-world outcomes may differ as global conditions evolve. Readers are encouraged to conduct independent research and seek professional counsel before acting on any concepts presented. Neither the author nor the publisher accepts responsibility or liability for decisions made based on this content.

Jamaica Homes

Dean Jones is the founder of Jamaica Homes (https://jamaica-homes.com) a trailblazer in the real estate industry, providing a comprehensive online platform where real estate agents, brokers, and other professionals list properties for sale, and owners list properties for rent. While we do not employ or directly represent these professionals or owners, Jamaica Homes connects property owners, buyers, renters, and real estate professionals, creating a vibrant digital marketplace. Committed to innovation, accessibility, and community, Jamaica Homes offers more than just property listings—it’s a journey towards home, inspired by the vibrant spirit of Jamaica.

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