Published: 2 July 2022 | Jamaica Homes News
Key Takeaways
- 9th Biennial Jamaica Diaspora Conference: a triumphant in-person return: After two years of COVID-19 disruption that forced the 2020 conference into virtual format and the 2021 event into the substitute Diaspora Symposium, the 9th Biennial Jamaica Diaspora Conference convened in person in Montego Bay on 18–21 June 2022, drawing an estimated 3,000 diaspora members and government representatives in the largest gathering of the diaspora community since the pandemic began. Working group sessions produced recommendations across investment, housing, education, health, and youth.
- Russia-Ukraine war: food and fuel price shock ripples through diaspora communities: Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022 was producing its most visible diaspora impacts by Q2, with global food prices at multi-decade highs and energy costs surging across Europe and North America. British-Jamaican, Canadian-Jamaican, and Jamaican-American households were managing household budgets severely squeezed by elevated fuel and grocery costs.
- Remittances: historically elevated but early normalisation signs: Jamaica’s remittance inflows through Q2 2022 remained at historically high levels, sustained by strong US and Canadian labour market conditions. However, the combination of global inflation reducing diaspora household disposable incomes and the unwinding of pandemic-era travel restrictions — allowing more diaspora spending to flow into travel rather than transfers — was producing early signs of normalisation from the 2021 peak.
- Economic recovery: Jamaica’s strong post-pandemic rebound continues: Jamaica’s post-pandemic economic recovery maintained strong momentum through Q2 2022, with PIOJ data confirming continued growth driven by tourism’s return, construction activity, and resilient services performance. The positive economic trajectory provided a constructive context for diaspora investment conversations at the June conference.
- COVID-19: restrictions easing, borders fully open, diaspora travel resuming: By Q2 2022, Jamaica’s COVID-19 restrictions had been substantially dismantled, international borders were fully open, and diaspora travel to Jamaica — suppressed through 2020 and much of 2021 — was recovering strongly. The return of diaspora visitors was a significant economic boost to communities and families dependent on in-person remittances and visitor spending.
- Returnees and housing: demand sustains, preferred-parish prices remain elevated: Voluntary return migration from the UK and North America continued at a steady pace through Q2 2022, with returnee property demand in Manchester, Portland, and St Andrew maintaining price pressure in Jamaica’s formal and informal housing markets. The NHT and government housing agencies maintained focus on affordable housing delivery, though supply in returnee-preferred locations remained constrained.
Introduction: The Conference Quarter
The second quarter of 2022 will be remembered in Jamaica’s diaspora history for one event above all others: the return to in-person format of the 9th Biennial Jamaica Diaspora Conference. After COVID-19 had forced the biennial gathering into virtual format in 2020 and prompted a substitute virtual symposium in June 2021, the June 2022 conference in Montego Bay restored the physical gathering that is central to the biennial’s function as a renewal of the bond between Jamaica and its overseas communities.
The conference arrived in a world shaped by two converging forces: the continuing post-pandemic recovery, which was generating the economic momentum that made Jamaica an increasingly attractive destination for diaspora investment and return migration, and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which was producing a global food and energy price shock that squeezed diaspora household budgets and complicated the remittance outlook. The contrast between Jamaica’s domestic economic buoyancy and the diaspora’s external cost pressures was a defining tension of the quarter.
This quarterly update draws on the Jamaica Gleaner, Jamaica Observer, Nationwide News Network, RJR News, Caribbean National Weekly, Bank of Jamaica, Planning Institute of Jamaica, Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Foreign Trade, and PICA.
The 9th Biennial Jamaica Diaspora Conference: June 18–21, 2022
The 9th Biennial Jamaica Diaspora Conference, held at the Montego Bay Convention Centre on 18–21 June 2022, was the defining event of the quarter and one of the most significant moments in Jamaica’s diaspora engagement history. Organised by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Foreign Trade under the theme “Diaspora Rising: Partnership for Sustainable Development,” the conference brought together an estimated 3,000 participants — diaspora community leaders, business investors, academics, cultural figures, and government representatives — from the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, and diaspora communities across Central America, the Caribbean, and beyond.
The conference’s in-person return after two COVID-disrupted years carried an emotional significance that virtual events could not replicate. For Windrush generation members attending their first biennial in person since the pre-pandemic years, and for younger diaspora members attending their first biennial altogether, the gathering was a powerful affirmation of the Jamaican diaspora’s scale, diversity, and continuing connection to the homeland. Prime Minister Andrew Holness and Foreign Affairs Minister Kamina Johnson Smith addressed the plenary sessions, setting out the government’s vision for deepening the diaspora partnership and previewing the forthcoming National Diaspora Policy.
The conference’s working group sessions produced detailed recommendations across all thematic areas: diaspora investment and economic development; housing and returning residents; education, youth, and skills transfer; health and social services; culture, arts, and sport; governance and civic engagement; and social technology and digital connectivity. Government ministers and senior officials participated in working group sessions, providing both substantive input and the political signal that the recommendations would be taken seriously in post-conference follow-through.
On investment facilitation — consistently the conference theme that generates the highest diaspora member engagement — the working group produced recommendations for a structured diaspora investment pipeline product to be developed through the Development Bank of Jamaica, clearer land title and conveyancing processes to reduce transaction friction for diaspora buyers, and improved diaspora investor support services through Jamaica’s overseas missions. On housing and returnees, the recommendations included the feasibility assessment of an NHT diaspora housing product, improved pre-return information services, and a structured returnee community network programme.
The conference’s outputs were captured in formal working group reports submitted to the MFAFT, which committed to publishing an implementation progress report within six months. This commitment — designed to prevent the conference’s recommendations from disappearing into a filing cabinet — was welcomed by community leaders who had experienced the gap between conference ambition and post-conference delivery in previous biennial cycles.
Russia-Ukraine War: Food, Fuel, and Diaspora Household Budgets
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022 had, by Q2, produced its most significant diaspora household impacts through the global food and energy price shock. Ukraine and Russia together account for roughly 30 per cent of global wheat exports and a significant share of sunflower oil, corn, and fertiliser supply. The war’s disruption of these commodity flows sent global food price indices to multi-decade highs through Q2. Simultaneously, sanctions on Russian energy exports and disruptions to European gas supply pushed energy prices sharply higher, particularly in Europe.
For British-Jamaican households — entering the summer of 2022 with energy bills 50–60 per cent higher than the previous year and food price inflation running at its highest rate in a generation — the squeeze on discretionary income was acute. UK CPI reached 9.0 per cent in April 2022 and continued rising through Q2, with food and energy the primary drivers. Real wages were falling at the fastest pace since at least the early 2000s. The impact on remittance-sending capacity was measurable in BOJ data, which showed UK-origin inflows growing at a slower rate than US and Canadian flows.
In North America, the inflation picture was less severe but still significant. US CPI hit 8.6 per cent in May 2022, its highest reading since 1981. Canadian inflation similarly accelerated through Q2. For Jamaican-American and Jamaican-Canadian workers — particularly those in lower-income brackets — the cost-of-living squeeze was real, even if the US and Canadian labour markets’ strength provided more protection than the UK’s more sluggish wage growth environment.
Remittances: Still Strong, But the Peak Is Behind Us
Jamaica’s remittance inflows through Q2 2022 remained at historically elevated levels. The structural resilience of the Jamaica–US remittance corridor — sustained by a Jamaican-American community that numbered in the hundreds of thousands across New York, Miami, Hartford, Atlanta, and other major metropolitan areas — kept inflows well above pre-pandemic norms. The US labour market’s exceptional strength through Q2 — with unemployment near 50-year lows and job openings at record highs in the sectors employing Jamaican workers — supported continued high remittance-sending capacity.
But the 2021 peak of US$3.49 billion was almost certainly behind Jamaica now. Two factors were producing a gentle normalisation: the unwinding of the pandemic-era constraints that had suppressed diaspora spending in Jamaica, freeing up remittance budgets for other purposes including travel and in-person gifting; and the global inflation environment that was eroding diaspora household disposable incomes, squeezing the funds available for transfer. The direction of travel was toward a modestly lower remittance total for 2022, even if the absolute level remained historically high.
The digital transformation of Jamaica’s remittance market was one of the pandemic’s lasting structural legacies. Mobile-first and app-based platforms had dramatically expanded their market share through 2020 and 2021, as lockdowns and COVID restrictions curtailed access to traditional agent networks. By Q2 2022, the shift was entrenched: a generation of new digital remittance users was now established on platforms that offered lower fees, faster transfer times, and greater transaction flexibility than the traditional money transfer agent model. For Jamaica’s recipients, the digital shift was largely positive, with more choice and lower cost. For the agent network operators — including community convenience stores and lottery booths that had served as remittance access points for rural and low-income Jamaicans — the structural disruption was ongoing.
Economic Recovery: Jamaica’s Post-Pandemic Momentum
Jamaica’s domestic economy maintained its strong post-pandemic recovery trajectory through Q2 2022. The tourism sector continued its remarkable rebound, with stopover visitor arrivals recovering strongly and the major hotel groups reporting excellent occupancy rates and room rate performance. The full-year 2022 tourism performance was on track to approach or match pre-pandemic levels, providing a material boost to the parishes most dependent on hospitality income — St James, Hanover, St Ann, and St Elizabeth on the north coast, and the Kingston metropolitan area.
Construction activity remained buoyant, driven by the tourism investment pipeline — with several major resort developments underway or in planning — and by residential construction across the Greater Kingston area and secondary centres. The financial services and business process outsourcing sectors continued to be growth drivers, with Jamaica’s BPO sector in particular enjoying strong demand from North American companies for offshore service delivery. For diaspora investors evaluating Jamaica, the post-pandemic recovery’s breadth and pace provided a positive signal about the underlying economic environment.
COVID-19: Restrictions Lifted, Diaspora Travel Returns
By Q2 2022, Jamaica had substantially dismantled its COVID-19 border and travel restrictions. International flights were operating at near-normal capacity, visa and entry requirements had returned to pre-pandemic norms, and the testing and vaccination requirements that had complicated travel through 2021 were lifted. The return of open international travel was transformative for the diaspora relationship: after two years in which physical visits to Jamaica had been constrained by cost, complexity, and risk, diaspora members were returning to the island in significant numbers through Q2.
The resumption of diaspora travel carried economic significance beyond the tourism statistics. Diaspora visitors brought spending into Jamaican communities, supported family members through direct cash, purchased property, and conducted business that could not easily be done remotely. The conference itself was a beneficiary of the return of travel: the 3,000 participants who attended the 9th Biennial in Montego Bay represented a significant direct economic contribution to the Montego Bay hospitality and services economy, as well as the broader significance of the diaspora’s physical gathering.
Returnees: Summer Moves and Housing Market
The summer of 2022 was traditionally a peak period for return migration from the United Kingdom and North America, with many returnees timing their moves to coincide with school terms and family availability. PICA processed a steady flow of Returning Residents applications through Q2, with UK-based applicants the predominant voluntary returnee group. The 9th Biennial Conference’s housing working group session was particularly well-attended by returnees and prospective returnees seeking information about Jamaica’s housing market, the NHT’s options, and the Returning Residents duty concession scheme.
Property prices in Jamaica’s returnee-preferred parishes — Manchester, Portland, St Andrew hill communities — remained elevated through Q2, reflecting the combination of diaspora demand and constrained formal supply. Estate agents reported high enquiry levels from UK-based prospective buyers and returnees, with virtual property tours an established feature of the pre-return search process. The conference provided a forum for the housing challenge to be raised formally as a policy priority, and the working group’s recommendations provided a structured basis for the government’s post-conference response.
Labour Mobility: SAWP in Full Operation
Canada’s Seasonal Agricultural Worker Programme was in full operation through Q2 2022, with Jamaican workers on placement at Canadian farms across Ontario, British Columbia, and other provinces. The SAWP’s 2022 cohort reflected the programme’s continued expansion and the strong demand from Canadian agricultural employers for the skilled, reliable Jamaican workforce the programme provides. For participating workers, the programme’s guaranteed wages, health coverage, and regulated working conditions made it one of the most advantageous formal labour mobility channels available to Jamaican workers, and remittances from SAWP participants contributed meaningfully to Jamaica’s overall inflow figures.
Outlook for Q3 2022
The third quarter of 2022 begins with the 9th Biennial Conference’s momentum to be sustained and its commitments to be converted into early-stage delivery. The MFAFT’s conference implementation process will be a critical focus of Q3, as working group recommendations are translated into inter-ministerial action plans and the implementation timeline for priority commitments is established.
The Atlantic hurricane season’s peak period runs through August–October, and Jamaica’s preparedness will be tested by whatever the 2022 season produces. The National Diaspora Policy’s anticipated adoption before the end of 2022 will be a key milestone to watch. And the remittance trajectory through Q3 — shaped by the global inflation environment, the US and UK labour market outlooks, and the seasonal patterns of diaspora giving — will provide an early indication of whether the post-pandemic normalisation is proceeding as analysts have projected.
This Quarterly Jamaica Diaspora and Returnee Update is researched and published by Jamaica Homes News. Sources consulted include the Jamaica Gleaner, Jamaica Observer, Nationwide News Network, RJR News, Caribbean National Weekly, Bank of Jamaica, Planning Institute of Jamaica, Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Foreign Trade, and PICA. All figures and developments are accurate as of the publication date, 2 July 2022.
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