The signing of the Islamabad Memorandum — a ceasefire framework between the US and Iran — sent swap rates tumbling in June 2026 and prompted NatWest, Barclays, TSB and Santander to immediately cut fixed mortgage rates. The Bank of England held at 3.75%. Here is how a peace deal in Pakistan moved mortgage rates in Manchester — and what it means for Caribbean property investors.

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The Bank of England published a plain-language explainer in June 2026 explaining precisely how the Iran war interrupted its rate-cutting programme and why UK mortgage rates rose. Inflation at 2.8%, base rate held at 3.75%, the next decision on 30 July. We draw out the full explanation — and what it means for property owners in Jamaica and the Caribbean.

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